Price on Value
Buffett on Buffett
John Price, Ph.D.
Do you have a favorite book? One that is full
of underlinings, pencilled remarks and scraps of paper as
bookmarks? I do. It is called The Essays of Warren Buffett:
Lessons for Corporate America.
This book consists of extracts from Warren Buffetts
letters to the shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway selected
by Lawrence Cunningham and grouped into chapters covering
five major themes.
However you measure Buffetts investment
achievements, they are exceptional. When he took over Berkshire
Hathaway in 1965, its book value was $19.46. Now it is around
$26,000. Or consider its share price: around $15 in 1965 and
now almost $80,000.
However, I think he brings another quality to
business that is even more important. Dont get me wrong.
I would love to have been one of those early investors with
Buffett who is now a multi-millionaire. But these are isolated
cases. His real impact on business is through the honesty,
openness and fair-dealing that he brings to it.
It is one of those wonderful truths that when
we see it, we wonder how we could have even lost it in the
first place. It often seems that most businesses will do all
that they can to exploit every loophole and your word is only
good until you can employ a lawyer to explain to the world
that you didnt really mean it. (See the article Conscious
Investing: Putting Your Money Where Your Beliefs Are
by Sandy Price and myself.) Yet I believe that Buffett is
showing us that business success comes because of honesty
and fair pay, rather than despite it.
Consider the letter Buffett sends to potential
sellers of businesses. In it he says that most buyers will
say that they need the owners to keep running the business,
but in many cases do not keep to this understanding. Buffett
continues, "We will behave exactly as promised, both
because we have so promised, and because we need to in order
to achieve the best business results." (p. 156,
my italics)
Or consider taxes. Unlike so many managers,
he has no complaint about the taxes Berkshire Hathaway pays,
both directly through operating earnings and capital gains
and indirectly through the companies it invests in. (p. 205)
He once quipped that he would rather be on this side of the
taxes instead of receiving government benefits.
This is not to say that Buffett sees his role
as bailing out distressed companies. As he remarked a few
weeks ago at the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, "We
are not in the business of being white knights, but in the
business of being investors."
Buffett enjoys making jokes at his own expense.
At one meeting he said, "At our annual meetings, someone
usually asks, What happens to this place if you get
hit by a truck? Im glad they are still asking
the question in this form. It wont be too long before
the query becomes, What happens to this place if you
dont get hit by a truck?" (p. 39)
Another time, after discussing how twice he
lost money on sales of Cap Cities, he wisecracked "Maybe
its time to get a guardian appointed." (p. 111)
In many places, Buffett supplies the general
philosophy of how he chooses companies for Berkshire Hathaway.
For example, "Leaving the question of price aside, the
best business to own is one that over an extended period can
employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates
of return. The worst business to own is one that must, or
will, do the oppositethat is, consistently employ
ever-greater amounts of capital at very low rates of return.
" (p. 86)
How does he locate such companies? This is the
most unsatisfactory part of the book. In fact, of everything
written by Buffett. On page 187 we learn that "the only
logical approach to evaluating relative attractiveness of
investments and businesses [is the calculation of intrinsic
value, defined] as the discounted value of the cash that can
be taken out of a business during its remaining life."
Then he says that it can only be an estimate, rather than
a precise figure and that two people looking at the same set
of facts would likely come up with different figures.
Fair enough. But what we would all like to be
told is how he calculates the intrinsic value of a particular
company. In the case of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett teases
us with "our annual reports do supply
the facts
that we ourselves use to calculate this value." At least
this confirms what we might have guessed: he does not make
use of analysts predictions.
Buffett is more revealing about things that
he does not like: "the absurdity of cash flow
numbers in Wall Street reports" (p. 185), the "abomination
EBDITearnings before depreciation, interest and taxes"
(p. 106) and "the most egregious case of lets-not-face-up-to
reality behavior by executives and accountants" has occurred
in the issuance of stock options to management and employees
(p. 198).
On the brighter side, filling this gap between
what Buffett says about valuing a company and how he does
it was the motivation for me to develop Valuesoft. The result:
I now have an investment software and seminar business.
At the 1998 annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway,
Buffett said that he likes homey, Norman Rockwell types of
companies. This seems appropriate since his approach to business
is a homey, Norman Rockwell style. He brings a nostalgia for
a simpler time when business was done with a nod and a handshake.
Many times he has said that the three most important words
in investing are those that he got from Benjamin Graham: always
allow for a "margin of safety." If I had a chance
to say two words to WB, they would be "thank you."
The book costs $17.45: to order click
here. Alternatively you can purchase a complete set of
Buffetts letters to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders
by writing directly to the company. You can also get more
details about Valuesoft by clicking here.
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